Football Over 2.5 Goals markets are one of the most popular football betting and trading markets. Whether they are placed as singles or multiples (accumulator coupons) they seem to be a logical market option for goal hungry fans. Every football fan wants to watch a match with plenty of goals and it can only get better when they win theirs over 2.5 goals bets.
So what does it take to correctly predict matches that finish in over 2.5 goals? Let’s start with our Smart Over 2.5 Goals Statistics:
The stats themselves are pretty easy to calculate and this particular model has been working great over the years to predict over 2.5 goals correctly. We look at the long, medium and short-term form and trends for both teams, as well as include head to head stats.
Let’s focus on the TOP 1 stats from our Over 2.5 Goals stats tables for the upcoming fixtures – a match that will take place on the 19th of January 2018. Kasimpasa will host Alanyaspor in Turkish Super League. Why is this match the top one from the main leagues and competitions?
The stats calculations here are straightforward and are as following:
HL20 – 80% means that 80% of Kasimpasa’s last 20 matches finished in O2.5 Goals (16/20 matches)
HL10H – 90% means that 90% of Kasimpasa’s last 10 home matches finished in O2.5 Goals (9/10 matches)
HL6 – 83% means that 83.33% of Kasimpasa’s last 6 matches finished in O2.5 Goals (5/6 matches)
AL20 – 70% means that 70% of Alanyaspor’s last 20 matches finished in O2.5 Goals (14/20 matches)
AL10A – 80% means that 80% of Alanyaspor’s last 10 home matches finished in O2.5 Goals (8/10 matches)
AL6 – 83% means that 83.33% of Alanyaspor’s last 6 matches finished in O2.5 Goals (5/6 matches)
AVG – 81% is the average for all the 6 stats factors above.
H2H No – 3 head to head meetings between these two teams (excluding friendlies)
H2H % – 100% means that 100% out of those last 3 matches finished O2.5 Goals (3/3 matches)
There are also odds for the Over 2.5 goals outcome – 1.57. These odds were available at the time of downloading the fixtures (2 days before the KO) and are most likely different (more likely lower due to good stats and popularity) now. Let’s have another look at the odds comparison website (oddsportal.com) to give you a better idea of how the odds can fluctuate.
Most of the bookmakers offer O2.5 goals at around 1.50 (1/2 fractional odds) and below. Of course, you can still get 1.60 with some smaller bookmakers, but the odds have already dropped since when we uploaded our stats.
I would like to point out another interesting fact. If you hoover some specific odds, you will be able to see their brief history in the orange box. You will notice that this match was first offered to bet on 7 days in advance and the Over 2.5 goals opening odds with many bookmakers were 1.80 or above. Now that is a massive difference in value! We don’t calculate the stats 7 days in advance for obvious reasons, but you will still be able to find great pre-match trading and value betting opportunities when getting involved a couple of night before the kick-off. If you wish to learn more about the pre-match or pre-kick off trading, we can honestly recommend this superb book.
Once you have your best Over 2.5 goals statistical selections shortlisted you will need to consider odds (you will need to learn to spot value and poor odds) and look at a few non-statistical factors:
Best of luck!
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